RealityCheck stated:
Do you mean the prediction from as Wal Thornhill that there would be a flash before the impact and another after the impact?
This prediction failed. There was a small flash on or under the surface and another larger flash from further under the surface.
Don't you mean
probably, or
presumably failed?
http://solarsystem.nasa.gov/deepimpact/ ... vating.cfm
As the impactor entered the nucleus, or shortly thereafter, a brilliant flash, lasting less than two tenths of a second, appeared probably as the impactor and part of Tempel 1 vaporized. The first flash was followed by a second presumably originating deeper within the comet. The second flash was brighter still and it momentarily saturated some pixels in the instruments on the flyby spacecraft.
"As the impactor entered the nucleus, or shortly thereafter" ... we're not quite sure
when... "
probably as the impactor and part of Tempel 1 vaporized"... not quite sure what... "The first flash was followed by a second
presumably originating deeper within the comet." ... not quite sure where...
RealityCheck stated:
"This prediction failed. There was a small flash on or under the surface and another larger flash from further under the surface.
Now when I compare
your statement, sir, to that of the author of the quote- I find you to be guilty of stating second-hand observation as
fact.
RC, you boldly stated:
"This prediction failed."
From my perspective, I don't think there's a shred of evidence to invalidate it. I don't think there is any evidence
for the EU prediction that the first flash occurred above the surface, either. The evidence is not clear either way.
However, here's some things that I personally took away from my time of watching all this unfold:
Wal Thornhill said there
would be two flashes... and there were.
He said that the flashes would be more energetic than were predicted by the mainstream... and they were.
He said that the craft would experience anomalies on it's approach... and it did. (NASA stated that "One was that about 20 seconds before impact, the impactor collided with a dust particle" and that "the optical quality of the last image of the impact point was degraded indicating that dust had abraded the lens of the Impactor Targeting Sensor", while Thornhill suggested that it would be caused by charge equalization. I'm amazed that NASA had the ability to see that dust particle strike that impactor at that speed... gotta give em credit for
that feat.

They never do really state how they came to that conclusion, do they? Seems more implied than anything)
Speaking of high temperatures... you know that article you linked, RC? That thing really did your argument way more harm than good. I remember following the predictions of what they'd find on comets (at least the ones made to mainstream media), about water ice, jets, the temperature of the thing, and etc.
This article says that the Sunward side of this comet is over 300 Kelvin! That's like 75 Fahrenheit, right? The article also said:
The coldest temperature is important because the temperature at which ices such as water, carbon dioxide and carbon monoxide turn directly into gas is below 200 degrees Kelvin.
(Ok, carbon monoxide and dioxide I'll buy... but
water?? Where's the editor?!)
So they think the jets on this comet are from frozen CO1 or CO2, right? But there isn't that much of it there, because there's so much mineral content in the comet. The ice shouldn't be thick enough to keep it's temperature for long. So at room temperature, you should see the CO ice
boiling off that comet! Not in it's coma or tail and don't quote spectographic whatzits at me-
where are the dry ice clouds spewing off the surface like you would see with a chunk of dry ice in a bucket? Don't tell me it 'blows away', because the current hypothesis is that the coma is held intact around the nucleus by gravity, as weak as the gravity is from that body. If any ice were sublimating on the surface, you'd see fog being produced.
Observation. Occam's Razor. Logic. Simplicity.
RealityCheck, I got no beef with you. Not personally. But I'm a simple layman (with
some brains in my head) that has never gotten over his love of Space from when he was a kid. I'm in my 40's now, and I have been watching all the goings-on of NASA since the last Apollo missions. I've watched predictions be made over and over, and they always seem to be followed by "but we were <suprised/astounded/shocked> by the <unanticipated/unexpected/unforseen> results".
It's gotten old. :\
I stumble along and discover these Thunderbolts and Electric Universe guys, and they seem to have an idea that shines lights into all these other dark places. I think to myself "Cool! Now NASA can get a move-on with figuring out that stuff that was baffling them!" ... but I think you know how the information was received, don't you?
RC, you came in here looking for 'mathematical proof' of the EU hypothesis, and found none. I suspect that you knew you would find none from the beginning. You denigrated the empirical approach almost immediately, by calling it
observational as though that were derogatory. It almost sounds to me like you're more interested in proving that your beliefs and understanding are
right than you are in actually understanding more or growing Science in any way.
I think that's sad. And I think that those responsible for educating the new kids in Academia and forcing this sort of unscientific bias down their throats should be canned and shipped off to Antartica to monitor those 'gravity wave' sensors that will never detect a damn thing.
Physics are physics.
Plasma happens. Astronomy and Astrophysics cannot just 'pick the parts they like' and disregard the rest of it. Solar wind is a positively-charged plasma, that means electrons
must stream back to the Sun from the portions of the Solar environment to which the positive ions are streaming to. If the comet is coming from that environment, then it will be negatively charged as well. Simple physics. The charge differential will cause EDM, and is the
only logical way a comet could have a coma
larger than the Sun! Comets
glow in x-rays, and to think you can tell a bunch of IEEE engineers "it's the wrong spectrum of x-rays for EDM" as a dodge is the height of hubris. NASA was
stunned to see a comet emitting x-rays like an x-ray star
If the Cosmological community at large and in control in the mainstream were
truly interested in the science of things, I think we'd see a lot more leniency towards the Plasma Cosmology group. They're not cranks, nor crackpots. They're guys who
experiment with fundamental states of matter and energy, and release raw energy in a labratory (albeit for billionths of a second) on a scale that only a star can match! You think they have
nothing constructive to add?? You come here thinking you will just put these engineers and physicists 'in their places' with your interpretations of these observations?
NASA should be working with these guys, instead of with those 'theoretical mathematicians' attempting to explain the Universe with hypothetical matter and energy, and 'string theories' and all that crap.
The thing that made me cross the line into the EU camp was- whereas NASA wants me to believe a theory based upon a some computer model of the mathematical conjecture that they think best explains their observations, the IEEE guys try look at the observations from space and say "that behavior is identical to the behavior of plasma we have studied in the laboratory under XXX conditions"... what sounds more reputable to you??
Well anyway, think what you want. Like I said- I have problems with the current paradigm in Cosmology, not with you personally.
You're just a product of the current paradigm.
Oh, I almost forgot about your question:
mharratsc wrote:
[…snipped pretty pictures look alike thing…]
Mike H.
I’m hoping that this is a joke!
Nope. It looks like an asteroid. No ice, all rock. Looks as solid as Mt. Everest to
me. Put your calculator down and try using your eyes on it for once.
Mike H.
Mike H.
"I have no fear to shout out my ignorance and let the Wise correct me, for every instance of such narrows the gulf between them and me." -- Michael A. Harrington