StephenO wrote:The purpose of testing is to rigorously define the outcome of an experiment, so it is not up to the audience to believe it or not.
Well, the audience certainly has to decide if they believe you got what you got in your lab, unless they were there themselves.
StephenO wrote:In this case it could be that one tests if balls accelerate towards the surface of the earth if you drop them.
Again, that is not a theory. Science embodies theories/explanations of consummated events. We explain why the ball fell (past tense).
Otherwise, you let go of the ball, and a bird swoops down and flies off with it. Now your "theory" is falsified. No excuses, you didn't say "unless a bird catches it".
Nobody can tell the future. The only people who claim to be able to predict the future are scammers and con artists trying to pull the wool over your eyes long enough to steal your wallet.
StephenO wrote:
Measuring an acceleration of 9.8m/s^2 +-0.1 would be considered solid evidence supporting the theory.
What does the number 9.8 have to do with whether the ball fell or not? 9.8 is "how much" the ball fell to the ground. It's a quantitative concept. Whether the ball fell or not is a qualitative, yes or no concept. Science explains why the ball fell (or not). Anyone can measure how much the ball fell, that's easy.
StephenO wrote:Why is "all swans are white" not a theory in your view?
A theory, a scientific theory, is an explanation. It poses a possible mechanism for something that happened. We learn something. "All swans are white" does not explain anything nor does it teach us anything new. It is practically meaningless. It means "I don't think I'll find a long-necked, flying, feathered, etc. thing that isn't white". Okay, good for you, you don't think you will. I couldn't care less. Not only do I not care at all about your opinion on what you will not see in your puny lifetime, I doubt if anyone else in the world besides you can know
exactly what you mean by white, so again nobody else cares. If we see a swan and I think it isn't white but you think it is, it's a meaningless debate. We are both looking at the same thing, whatever we choose to call it or label it. Nothing is proven or disproven and we have still learned nothing.
StephenO wrote:Why do you call it a "wild guess" if it was based on multiple observations?
Any claim about the future is, ultimately, a guess. Whether one qualifies it with the word "wild" or not is just a matter of preference. Nobody can tell the future, any claim about the future is a guess.
I call it "wild" because it's arbitrary. You have no idea how many swans there are. Whether you've seen 0.00001% of them or 99%. You don't know if you just happened to see the .00001% of swans that are white. You have no idea WHY a swan would be white. Explaining why, that might teach you something. Then when you found a black swan you might actually understand why it's black instead of white.
If you had a theory I thought was plausibe for explaining swan color, I wouldn't consider your guesses quite so "wild". If I thought your theory was good enough I might even start making guesses about the future too. But the *theory* is in the why, the understanding, the explanation. The "prediction" is just to impress me and others, to make us think you know some deep secret that we don't, to make us want to learn from you.
StephenO wrote:What is a "consummated" event? An observation?
A consummated event is something that has already taken place. Something that happenED.
StephenO wrote:How could a theory be ever tested if the results would not be observable?
A scientific theory explains a past event, which invariably means it was observed.