I have been following the Bad astronomy board with the EU subject line, since someone from there came to my site. I think that there are some similarities between what I have been researching and EU ideas. All of the conclusions I have reached are a result of reading scientific research, and continuing on past the point where lack of further funding stopped the original researchers. It is not so much a "new paradigm" just a composite of research that was discontinued, for lack of funding or interest by main stream meteorology. It is astrophysics, with real data, weather records and a cyclic pattern used to create a forecast that works better in the ten day to 90 day range than the standard models. http://www.aerology.com/national.aspx
To view maps for the entire year 2008
enter user name.......Kstate
and password .........Maps08
I have posted to my site, daily weather forecast maps, of the forecasts I generated. My web site contains no commercial content. It is only intended to show new ideas that have been overlooked. I had not heard of the contested EU ideas until I found these boards. If you do not find my forecasts to be accurate (after really looking them over) I would like to know what % of accuracy they did archive.
(Sites for solar wind flow and charge data are available at:)http://www.n3kl.org/sun/noaa.htmlhttp://www.lightning.ece.ufl.edu/http://www.giss.nasa.gov/research/stories/20030210/http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/magnetic/
a good source of planetary positional information can be found at:http://space.jpl.nasa.gov/http://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/eph
These are some of the sources of data I use in my research. when the conventional methods are as good as the 30 to 90 day ahead results that I get, I will quit doing what I am, till them someone has to do it. I think freely contributing my time, without asking for any federal funding is no reason for being attacked by persons with less understanding of reality, than can be easily found in the research data base.
Nice link to an article about solar induced currents into the earth's weather system...http://www.gsfc.nasa.gov/topstory/2004/ ... storm.html
patterns of ozone production and movement can be followed at the link to one of their pages...http://toms.gsfc.nasa.gov/
They have a nice archive of past ozone patterns available on their ftp site. I have used this data to track effects on earth's weather after solar flares, and during the occurrence of Heliocentric conjunctions of Earth with the other planets. It is from making many observations over the past several years that I have come to the conclusions posted here. http://www.sec.noaa.gov/primer/primer.html
The region between the Sun and the planets has been termed the interplanetary medium. Although once considered a perfect vacuum, this is actually a turbulent region dominated by the solar wind, which flows at velocities of approximately 250-1000 km/s (about 600,000 to 2,000,000 miles per hour). Other characteristics of the solar wind (density, composition, and magnetic field strength, among others) vary with changing conditions on the Sun. The effect of the solar wind can be seen in the tails of comets which always point away from the Sun.
The solar wind flows around obstacles such as planets, but those planets with their own magnetic fields respond in specific ways. Earth's magnetic field is very similar to the pattern formed when iron filings align around a bar magnet. Under the influence of the solar wind, these magnetic field lines are compressed in the Sun ward direction and stretched out in the downwind direction. This creates the magnetosphere, a complex, teardrop-shaped cavity around Earth.
The Van Allen radiation belts are within this cavity, as is the ionosphere, a layer of Earth's upper atmosphere where photo ionization by solar x-rays and extreme ultraviolet rays creates free electrons. Earth's magnetic field senses the solar wind its speed, density, and magnetic field. Because the solar wind varies over time scales as short as seconds, the interface that separates interplanetary space from the magnetosphere is very dynamic.
Normally this interface called the magneto pause lies at a distance equivalent to about 10 Earth radii in the direction of the Sun. However, during episodes of elevated solar wind density or velocity, the magneto pause can be pushed inward to within 6.6 Earth radii (the altitude of geosynchronous satellites). As the magnetosphere extracts energy from the solar wind, internal processes produce geomagnetic storms.
Air masses and the clouds in them, that are perturbed from equatorial areas carry a net positive residual ionic/static charge, that helps prevent rapid condensation, by mutual static repulsion between condensational nuclei. These static charges helps to maintain more uniform size of nebulized droplets, aids in super cooling, and results in rapid precipitation when meeting air masses from more polar regions which carry a residual negative ionic/static charge, that also prevents rapid condensation by mutual static repulsion inside of the clouds in the polar air masses.
Upon meeting at a frontal boundary, the static charges on the colliding air masses allow the condensational nuclei to attract each other, and help the temperature gradient, to generate the rapid precipitation usually seen in narrow frontal boundaries.
No where have I said anything about dropping any of the standard practices, I have only said that a few things had been left out of the mix. One of the ingredients concerns the variations in the homo polar charges on the Earth, and the interaction with fluxes in magnetic field strength of the passing solar wind.
The Moon is magnetically and gravitational locked to the Earth, and when I looked at the Auroral displays, the extension of fields between the Earth and Moon produces a bulge in the displayed Auroral activity that rotates with the moon. Lunar permanent magnetic fields balance induction forces that are felt upon the Earth (working similar to someone moving a magnet in and out of a coil), counter balancing the Solar magnetic field rotation at the same 27.32 day frequency. The lunar declination period results from, these Interplanetary magnetic fluxes that drives the magnetic fields of the Earth's internal dynamo into typical shock excited oscillations, at the driven periodicity.
It is the Earth/Moon barycenter, not the center of mass of the Earth alone that scribes the smooth ellipsoidal orbit of the Earth/Moon system on the ecliptic plane, the center of mass of the Earth follows a spiraling path, as a result of the leveraging of the moon's declinational and rotational movement. With this spiraling of the center of mass of the Earth above and below the ecliptic plane. The Lunar declinational component cycles from a minimum of 18 1/2 degrees, to a maximum of 27 1/2 degrees in the 18.6 year Mn cycle, displacing the center of mass of the Earth 800 Km to 1400 Km either side of the ecliptic plane.
Increases in the global homo polar generator magnetic fields, increases the pole to equator potential, slows down the polar negative leakage, increases the generation of positive ions at the equator and ITZ, and during the charging cycle time inhibits tropical precipitation rates. Adds positive ion energy to hurricanes that are moving to the mid latitudes, (that just happen to be) in sync with the lunar equatorial crossings (North or South).
With the inverse mechanism in effect post Synodic conjunctions, with periods of decreases in field strength, the global circuit discharges through fast moving polar air masses, that carry these strong negative ionic / static discharges, so that when meeting equatorial air masses give rise to increased intensity of thunderstorms. At times of the year when the Earth comes into alignment with the outer gas planets, these effects are increased in proportion to resultant magnetic flux changes, and are felt as changes in the global weather patterns. The addition of other heliocentric conjunctions of other planets, in combinations, also affect the Earth's global circuit to some degree, depending on the planets' sizes and Synodic angular proximity to the Earth. http://sec.noaa.gov/pmap/index.htmlhttp://www.nerc-bas.ac.uk/public/uasd/m ... intro.htmlhttp://hpiers.obspm.fr/http://www.mpe-garching.mpg.de/www_plas/plasma.htmlhttp://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2001 ... list159023http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/671874.stmhttp://www.spaceweather.com/http://sec.noaa.gov/today.html
You are right that the permanent field of Venus is weak and disoriented. The permanent magnetic fields of other planets have been measured by NASA probes. Such fields are too weak, and the other planets much too far away, to have any noticeable effect on the magnetic field near the Earth. Maybe a little basic electronics training is in order here, Ferro magnetic materials take on a permanent magnetic field orientation when in the form of crystals that cooled quickly. The orientation of the permanent fields orients with the field lines dominate at the time of quenching from the melted or heated state. Nice examples are the central ocean ridges and the evidence for polar magnetic reversals for the Earth. When the magnetic materials are bound up into compounds that leave no pure iron crystals, the resultant permanent field is very weak or non-existent.
However the magnetic permeability (the ability to conduct magnetic fields) remains strong in the gaseous or liquid state, and in varying degrees in solid compounds. Looking at the solar system as a composite system, with the sun at the magnetic center, and the planets, and all of the small
bodies revolving around it as an integrated magnetically connected whole. The natural assumption I make is that all of the dynamically fluxing magnetic fields extending from the sun are coupled into all of the bodies in a relevant strength, dependent upon the amount of magnetically permeable material included in that body. Not the weak standing residual field created from the solidification of their crusts.
The ionized particles in the flow patterns of the solar wind follows the pattern of the magnetic field lines that are focused by the relativity highly conductive Ferro components in planetary bodies. These Ion streams are well know for the large gas planets, but exist for all bodies, it is these saturateable core passive induction, forces that, coupling the magnetic field flux that forms the solar wind flux, as ions are pulled out from the sun as a result of the expansive surges in the magnetic field lines pulled out to couple thru the increased resultant coupling thru Synodic planetary alignments as they pass one another. When the earth is in the line of fire of these magnetic storms, we have satellite radiation assault problems.There are also, resultant ACTIVE magnetic fields, internally generated due to the magnetic reluctance induced setting up MHD fields and eddy currents which creates power outages.
I have now posted to my national forecast pages, the combined last three cycles of data. The repeatability is still good. Trends in the patterns this time can be found in the 54 day pattern that carries over to the "today,s forecast". This data is also still presented, without any compensation for residual differences between the cyclic patterns. I am gaining insights on how the driving forces in the current cycle are varying from the other three. I am still wanting to design an active program that combines, the past three cycles, and the recent / current variances, and derive compensations for adjusting the "Forecast" to reflect the current differences.
01-July-2004, 09:39 AMhttp://space.jpl.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/wspace
What I find important is the alignment of the planets with each other with respect to the sun (Heliocentric) and when also in line with the center of the milky way. These effects are related to magnetic flux strength, which has some effect upon the global weather patterns on ALL of the planets. If you watch the dust storm patterns on Mars for several years, Mars has severe dust storms every time it gets passed by the Earth. Or when ever it laps one of the outer planets. http://nova.stanford.edu/projects/mgs/dmwr.htmlhttp://arc.iki.rssi.ru/eng/index.htmhttp://www-mgcm.arc.nasa.gov/MGCM.html
And from the last link.....
LARGE DUST STORM SWALLOWS MARS
June/July, 2001: Beginning in mid-June, 2001 a region of increased dust abundance began to appear in the Hellas Basin. This activity persisted for over a week until June 26 when the storm began to intensify and expand.
Earth had a heliocentric conjunction with Mars on June 13th 2001, while both of them were in opposition to Jupiter with in the next 48 hours. All in line with the sun and the center of our galaxy.
If someone with a good working knowledge of calculator with scientific notation, Watts/meter^2, or would whip out a slide rule and figure the net electrical power involved in the inter action of the solar wind with say a conservative 6 earth radii. In terms of Gigga watts per hour, or whatever values applies, might put this argument into prospective, rather quickly.... Values for the parameters could be found at several links I already posted. Speed in Km per second, X density about 1 electron per cm^2, X cross sectional area of 6 Earth radii= Wattage x10^???
Nice graphics for those that learn visuallyhttp://www.universetoday.com/am/publish ... tml?272004
3D View of a Coronal Mass Ejection. 8)
I invoke "Fair Use" to quote the following archive extracts.
"Solar Activity and Terrestrial Thunderstorms," New Scientist, 81:256, 1979.
Data collected from electrosondes (balloons measuring atmospheric electrical currents) over the Antarctic ice caps infer that solar flares stimulate large surges in the flow of electrical charge from the upper atmosphere to the earth's surface. Because this unidirectional flow of fair-weather electricity must ultimately be balanced by thunderstorms somewhere on the planet, it follows that the frequency and severity of terrestrial thunderstorms are dictated, at least on the average, by solar activity. Formerly, global circuit theory had it that the thunderstorms themselves were the driving force behind the fair weather current flow. Now it seems that the sun calls the tune and that thunderstorms do not arise at random."
"Do Cosmic Rays Trigger Lightning Discharges?" New Scientist, 77:88, 1978.
"Science has long claimed to have the explanation of lightning discharges well under control. But the discharge paths followed by lightning strokes often seem unnecessarily tortuous when more direct routes are readily available. The mechanism by which large reservoirs of unlike charges are built up is also obscure. Cosmic rays have now been proposed as both a source of charged particles and a provider of low-resistance ionized conduits for lightning to follow. Primary cosmic rays carry considerable energy, most of which appears near the earth's surface in the form of cascades of secondary particles that create complex ionized tracks as they penetrate the dense lower atmosphere. Lightning bolts would tend to follow these precursors along their crooked trails."
(http://radarmet.atmos.colostate.edu/~kw ... day-a1.htm
Seems that current research still considers electrification to be the result of thunderstorm formation, not the cause. "...For reasons that are not widely agreed upon, a cloud-to-ground lightning flash originates in this mixed water and ice region...!"
This seems to be a fairly typical textbook explanation, missing out, as ever, the reasons for the charge accumulation.
Even granting, for the moment, that "electric weather" is worth considering, its value in weather forecasting needs to be demonstrated (as an "interesting hypothesis," it does little or no practical good). Exactly how do we forecast the occurrence of thunderstorms, using the electric weather/universe approach? What about other types of weather? So I have spent 30 years and thousands of dollars, getting my site on line, to find out for my self.
Electricity and weather are inextricable linked. But electricity does not necessarily cause local weather to behave in a certain way since there are many other stronger factors. But it does influence global weather, which in turn influences local weather. This view accords with a recent report (17 November 2003) in Geophysical Review Letters by Joseph Dwyer of the Florida Institute of Technology, which says that according to conventional theory electrical fields in the atmosphere simply cannot grow large enough to trigger lightning. “The conventional view of how lightning is produced is wrong.” And so “the true origin of lightning remains a mystery.”
The article goes on to say that differentials may trigger lightning, although they are not responsible for the charge build-up. This is not the view of conventional meteorology, sure, but maybe this will change...
But to completely ignore the effects of electricity on weather, when (a) the Earth is being hit by 50 to 100 thunderbolts per second, (b) the upper atmosphere is carrying million ampere currents (c) the atmosphere has a vertical electrical field of up to 100 volts per meter, seems to me to be a little short-sighted. [Reference: The Earth's Electrical Environment (1986) On line in full (http://www.nap.edu/books/0309036801/html/
(So far as I know) I am about the only person to spend 25+ years looking at Lunar declinational tidal effects as "The main meridional forcing mechanism of the atmosphere." I think that in finding the proof of the connections between the Solar wind variations, global weather patterns, the electromagnetic interactions of the solar wind with the planets, lies the key to solving the long-term modeling problem's and providing answers that work.