Evidence against concordance cosmology

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Michael Mozina
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Re: Evidence against concordance cosmology

Unread post by Michael Mozina » Mon Feb 29, 2016 11:35 am

Anyway, Eric, I am not sure how long you have been working on your oddball "mathematical description" of tired light.
You folks really do 'cheat' a lot in debate by introducing loaded language like "oddball", as though an empirically demonstrated process in plasma (inelastic scattering) is somehow an "odd" concept. It may be a foreign concept to you personally, but it's not an oddball concept, and some folks have spent quite a bit of time on various tired light models.
Anyway, here is the trivial experimental disproof. Your equation, which you seem to have pulled out of a hat, is a "mathematical description" only in the sense that, after you learned that the data looked like y = y0/(1 + x), you were able to cook up a differential equation whose solution was y = y0/(1+x), surprising no one.
If that "postiction" process some how rules out tired light theories, then it necessarily rules out all of your claims too since they were all posticted fits to observations. You can't blame tired light theories for doing exactly what you did *times four*.
The equation you found is exactly the sort of thing that distinguishes physicists from mathematicians---your equation strictly implies that photons behave in certain ways,
Ya, and we need to "physically test" some various models to see which one(s) fit the equation the best.
and those implications are so incredibly unphysical that---
Sorry Ben that's simply not true. Inelastic scattering and pulse spreading are entirely "physical" and empirical processes, and well documented processes in the lab. There's even a "physical cause" (several actually) that are associated with the energy exchange between the photons and the medium. In fact, the cause can vary based upon the actual mechanism/type of inelastic scattering, but they all have physical causes that can be physically identified.
well, they make "dark energy" look like a quiet day in the paradigm factory.
Oh please! You can't even name a single source of "dark energy", let alone explain a "control mechanism" that we might use to demonstrate it's existence in a real lab. You can't even be certain that SN1A events are actually as "standard" as you first *assumed*! Dark energy is the biggest ad hoc fudge factor ever invented by man. It's even worse than inflation in terms of a lack of cause/effect justification and it defies the laws of physics as we understand them. No known field in nature retains constant density over multiple exponential increases in volume.
In this case, the problem isn't the *mechanism*---there is no non-borked mechanism for ANY tired light theory---the problem is the math.
That's simply not true. Ari's brand of redshift talks *a lot* about the proposed "mechanism" of his theory. Almost all inelastic scattering processes have "mechanisms" associated with them. Ditto for pulse spreading. They aren't however to be *required* in a paper that wasn't ever intended to describe them in the first place!
Your math describes every photon behaving differently depending on its origin.
No it doesn't. The worst you could state is that it predicts that light behaves different depending on *wavelength*, but not it's source.

It looks to me like the rest of your post/claim is nothing but a strawman argument so I'll leave that issue for Eric.
Sorry, Eric, your "mathematical description" of redshift cannot be a real mathematical description of redshift, or even a rough approximation to it, in the real world.
Not only could it be a real mathematical description of the *average*, it's probably more than just a "rough" approximation too. It's bound to be at least as accurate as your approximations, and a whole lot better than your 2006 "approximations" of baryonic mass in those colliding galaxy clusters.
Like most attempts to guess what the laws of physics are doing, your guess was wrong out-of-the-box.
Oh for crying out loud. You folks botched the stellar baryonic mass estimates in 2006 by a whopping factor of between 3 and 20 times. You "assumed" that SN1A events are all alike, but now we've learned they come in *at least* two unique forms. You "assumed" that inflation cause a homogeneous layout of matter, but we know from Planck data sets that the universe is *not* homogeneous at the largest scales as Guth originally "predicted". You were wrong out of the box at LHC, wrong out of the box at LUX, wrong out for both at Pandax, and everywhere else you've looked.

Michael Mozina
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Re: Evidence against concordance cosmology

Unread post by Michael Mozina » Tue Mar 01, 2016 1:38 pm

In no other field of physics would the introduction of three hypothetical entities, each unconfirmed by experimental evidence, be allowed to save a theory.
First of all: this is epistemologically nonsense. To begin with ,it is how physics works.
Technically it's *four* not three, including "space expansion", "inflation", "dark energy", and "cold dark matter", none of which enjoy any empirical support in laboratory cause/effect demonstrations of claim.

Apparently your attitude toward empirical physical explanations is nonsense. In every other *empirical* branch of physics, the intent is to use empirical physics as much as possible, as creatively as possible, to explain whatever we observe, in the *simplest* way possible, with the *least* number of "new" entities possible. We like to use "control mechanisms" in real lab tests too in an effort to verify *cause/effect* claims. That's how every other empirical branch of physics works. Even "standard" particle physics theory is based upon a now complete "standard model" of particles. It has no particular need for exotic forms of matter/energy. Any 'desire' you might have to find new particles should not be based upon some other need you have to prop up *a different* scientific theory.

You don't see the medical profession running around claiming that "voodoo energy" causes people to get sick, and simply ignore any inability they might have to "test" that claim in controlled empirical experiments.
Nature is out there using some complete set (call it Z) of laws of physics. A priori, we don't know what Z is. We construct hypotheses of the form "if the laws were X, the data would be Y". If X does not predict Y, then X != Z and we have to say "we don't know the laws of Nature Z" and we are supposed to keep guessing. All such guesses are extensions of X beyond what you guessed first.
It's one thing to posit *one* new hypothetical entity to explain an "unknown" observation. In my medical example, it would be "bad enough" to insert "voodoo energy" into the discussion about human sickness without any empirical cause/effect justification. If the the same folks however claimed that "voodoo energy" is the primary cause of sickness, but "voodoo matter" sometimes hits human cells and destroys them and makes people sick too, *and* it's all caused by the voodoo deity called "inflation", do you really think anyone would take that claim seriously in the halls of medicine today?

Using *ordinary* inelastic scattering processes in plasma, and the *known* process of pulse spreading, we can explain *ordinary* photon redshift, and *ordinary* increases in signal duration over distance. There's no need to resort to anything other than empirical forms of physics to explain what we observe from space. As both papers (including the one I cited in this thread) demonstrate, tired light/static universe theory easily explains every observation we might mathematically model.

All Eric is doing is proposing an *average* energy loss over distance based upon "observation". LCDM does exactly the same postdiction from observation, but in order to get a fit, LCDM must introduce *four* cause/effect claims that defy empirical validation, and in most cases could never be demonstrated in labs on Earth (space expansion/acceleration").

Why do we even need *one* voodoo/hypothesis to explain human sickness? Why must we "assume" that some hypothetical form of energy *must* exist, from simple photon redshift and pulse broadening observations from space?
Eric thinks that he knows Z already:
Everyone seems to think that they have Z figured out now. You do it too, so quit whining. The hypocrisy factor is simply off scale.
the actual laws of Nature have to be (he thinks) the ones observed directly in pre-2016 labs.
In the field of medicine, they typically do not "assume" that additional forms of matter or energy are required to explain the human condition. Electrical engineers don't usually spend their days "hoping" to find additional forms of matter or energy in an effort to apply their trade to real life problems. Why would astronomers be the *single exception*? Even particle physicists would be 'ok' with the standard particle physics model if LHC sees nothing new in the upper energy ranges. Even if particle physicists do see some additional 'transitory' particle(s) in those upper energy range experiments, that still wouldn't validate *your* claims about the existence of "cold dark matter'.
He thinks astronomers are only allowed to rearrange the "known" ingredients into different sorts of clouds and clusters and streams.
He thinks, just like Hubble before him that we should start by suggesting a clever arrangement of *ordinary* matter/energy ingredients *before* jumping to the conclusion that additional matter/energy must exist in nature.
This is bizarre.
Nope, it's ordinary 'science', including the procedures of "medicine". Nobody in the medical profession *requires* there to be additional forms of matter or energy in order for them to heal human beings.
Every physicist since Fermi and Rabi has known that Nature might have huge catalogues of new particles up her sleeve, and that some such particles might be hard or impossible to detect.
You mean 100 years ago or more?
Everyone except you! You seem to have some inside information telling you that protons, electrons, photons, and neutrinos are the whole story. What information is that?
Well, for starters it's based upon about 100 years of experiments with particle physics. The "standard" particle physics model is now "complete" in the lab Ben. It works very well to explain pretty much every particle collision we've ever seen to date in any lab on Earth. They even found the Higgs Boson at LHC, the *last* remaining "required" particle of the standard particle physics model.

Compare and contrast that with your mythical menagerie of SUSY "sparticles", none of which have been seen to date at LHC or anywhere else.
Secondly: Eric remains (as of 2003 anyway) confused about whether dark matter and dark energy are overconstrained or not.
I don't know what Eric thinks, but apparently your industry is starting to *panic* with respect to how "overconstrained" CDM is at this point.

https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2 ... 213454.htm
As experiments place ever more stringent constraints on the strength of dark matter interactions, there are some current theories that end up overestimating the quantity of dark matter in the universe. To bring theory into alignment with observations, Davoudiasl and his colleagues suggest that another inflationary period took place, powered by interactions in a "hidden sector" of physics.
CDM has gotten so "constrained" now, you need a "double virgin inflation birth", lest your whole theory bite the dust this time, not just BICEP2 claims. Holy Cow. If you can't get inflation to work right the first time, just give it a second miracle expansion cycle, and fudge the numbers some more! Come on. You've constrained CDM to the point of absurdity and you refuse to let it die an ordinary scientific death.

Your entire *justification* for CDM in *your* industry comes from *botched mass estimates* in decades old lensing studies. Many studies since 2006 demonstrate that your industry was incapable of even correctly predicting the correct number of *whole stars* in various galaxies. You missed the number by a huge factor of between 3 and 20 depending on the size of the star and the type of galaxy! You not only "constrained" your mythical matter to the point that you now need a "double inflation miracle" just to get a good "fit" again, you folks also demonstrated that your whole justification for claiming that exotic matter was "out there" in the first place was based upon your *botched* galaxy estimates from 2006. Oy Vey.
He thinks we threw four crazy ideas into a Cosmic Microwave Background fit, saw a good chi^2, and started collecting Nobel prizes based on unusually little confirmation. Nonsense.
Actually, that's pretty much how it's worked for the past several decades. You took *one specific* wavelength of light from suns in various galaxies, and you tried to build a federal case about that one range of low energy wavelengths. As I explained earlier in this thread, your entire case fell apart in Planck and further galaxy mass estimate revelations. The light that we observe in microwave wavelengths comes from *suns* and *galaxies* and *ordinary scattering*, just like every other wavelength. It's not coming from some mythical surface of a snow globe universe.
It's terrifically overconstrained. Multiple independent cosmology observables provide cross-predictions for each other. I have said this five times and Eric seems deaf to it.
We aren't deaf to it ben, we realize how "constrained" you really are, and some of us even feel a bit sorry for you too. You're so 'constrained', you can't deal with those revelations of stellar miscounts. You have to simply bury your collective heads in the sand and pretend that it doesn't matter that you *grossly* botched the baryonic mass estimates in 2006. You're so constrained that you are simply powerless to make any changes to your model, because the whole nucleosynthesis claim falls apart when you try to swap "exotic" matter with ordinary matter. All your pretty nice little nucleosynthesis claims go flying right out the window!

You're so "constrained" in terms of 'dark energy', you can't handle budging those percentages even though you've since discovered that SN1A events come in *at least* two different "candles", not one "standard" candle as you first claimed. You can't handle that information either, because of your *constraints*. The moment you budge from the mythical matter/energy claims, your whole hydrogen/helium abundance claims go flying out the window.

We all know what the problem is ben. You're *too* constrained by your own supernatural monstrosity to budge significantly on any part of your 4 supernatural claims.

EU/PC theory however doesn't *care* how many "candles" that might exist in SN1A events. It doesn't *require* any specific number in fact. The only thing it requires is a *logical* addition to your *overly simplistic* concepts related to photon redshift and signal broadening feature that are *observed* in the lab in ordinary plasma. EU/PC isn't so "constrained" that it cannot be changed based upon new evidence. On the other hand, your so "constrained", you're forced to embrace pure denial on every one of the four hypothetical foundational parts of LCDM.
Thirdly: In this thread, Eric seems willing look at one isolated cosmological data fit and invent new physics to make sense of it---
That's usually how all papers work Ben. I have however handed you *other* studies, using *other* isolated cosmological data, and it also demonstrates the viability of tired light and static universe theory. Deal with it, and quit claiming that EU/PC theory doesn't enjoy mathematical support. That is utter nonsense.
even at the cost of that "new physics" being apparently Lorentz-violating nonlocal craziness in which otherwise-indistinguishable photons need to remember how far they've traveled so far in order to decide how much they need to stretch in wavelength.
That's just a silly strawman. Eric isn't inventing any "new physics". Pulse spreading and inelastic scattering have been know about and observed in the lab for a very long, long, long time ben. The fact you have *failed* to address or account for these *known and demonstrated* processes in plasma, is the whole reason that you need at least three of your four hypothetical constructs!
(Presumably he holds out some hope that this will turn out to be a plasma-physics phenomenon. I don't know why he expects anyone else to hold out such a hope.)
Why would anyone hold out hope that the physics of photons passing through space plasma is the same as the physics of photons passing through plasma on Earth? Who would hold out hope that pulse broadening happens in *matter/medium* in space, simply because it happens in *matter/medium" in labs here on Earth ben?

Sheesh. This conversation is surreal. LCDM requires that photons magically weave and dodge their way around every EM field gradient, every temperature gradient, and every particle for billions of light years to magically arrive at Earth completely unaffected by the medium through which it traveled. Give it rest Ben.

Eric is simply introducing constants that are related to *known physics* in plasma on Earth. You should have added those constants long ago, but others are having to do your work for you. Your plasma physics models are way *too primitive*, and too simplistic. They don't correctly account for pulse spreading and ordinary photon redshift in plasma as we see in happen in plasma in labs on Earth.

In fact, most of your plasma physics claims are based upon pure "pseudoscience" according to the author of MHD theory and based upon a claim that Alfven personally made 'obsolete' with his double layer paper.

The moment you folks wake up and start modeling plasma *correctly*, your entire metaphysical show is busted. Circuit theory and ordinary plasma physics processes can easily account for photon redshift and pulse broadening features from high energy events in space.

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Zyxzevn
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Re: Evidence against concordance cosmology

Unread post by Zyxzevn » Tue Mar 01, 2016 3:08 pm

Thanks Micheal, I am learning more alternative theories for redshift by reading your comments.

I fully agree with a null-hypothesis on all the proposed ideas.
Hypothesis: There is no inflation, no dark matter, no dark energy, no black holes, etc.

To discern between different alternative theories:
Are there any accurate redshift measurements?
Most measurements seem based on the spectra of many stars together.
Do the gaps in the spectra indeed widen, depending on the redshift?
That would be a clear falsifying observation towards speed-redshift.
Are the timing of events any different? Do they really get slower?
Or maybe they are wrongly identified?

Quasars do not show time dilation, which is also a falsifying observation.
But it might be corrected by using Halton Arp's assumption of nearby quasars.
That is why I wonder if there is some kind of time-dilation or not.

There is no mentioning of redshift in the rotation speed of Galaxies. Did they just leave it out?

I remember something that the pulsars are not showing time-dilations either.
The very high frequencies that are reported sometimes, might just be based on the false
assumption of expansion.

It would be interesting to have a catalogue with the interesting objects in the universe.
But with no assumption of inflation, and no dark matter, no black holes.
More ** from zyxzevn at: Paradigm change and C@

Michael Mozina
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Re: Evidence against concordance cosmology

Unread post by Michael Mozina » Wed Mar 02, 2016 8:41 am

JeanTate: In his earlier papers etc, Eric L has speculated widely on plasma phenomena, but I don't recall anything specific re a distance-redshift relationship being due to plasmas.

Where you will find such speculations is among EU acolytes; some explicitly claim that the cosmological redshift (i.e. not that due to the Doppler effect, but possibly including gravitational redshift) is due entirely to the kind of 'plasma redshift' effect seen in some Earthly lab experiments; "inelastic scattering" is sometimes mentioned, as is "pulse broadening". Also claimed as causes are Compton scattering (yes, you read that correctly), and the 'plasma redshift' found in various papers in vixra (and, no doubt, other physical causes besides).

However, unlike Eric L - who does at least do some quantitative analyses, using data published in astrophysics/astronomy papers - none of the EU zealots have even attempted to test their 'word salad' ideas, quantitatively (to my knowledge anyway).
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.10 ... /2/96/meta

You know.....

The ignorance factor among the mainstream is sometimes just shocking.

http://arxiv.org/find/astro-ph/1/au:+Br ... /0/all/0/1
http://www.newtonphysics.on.ca/hubble/

Apparently if the EU/PC haters simply never *read* the maths or the papers in question, they ignorantly *assume* that no such effort was *ever* made by *anyone*. They then ignorantly spew that false nonsense back and forth to each other and convince themselves that "no math support EU/PC" theory. It's like a bad cult. They literally haven't a clue how any other theory works, they don't care, and they misrepresent the facts on pretty much a daily basis.

Holy cow, I even provided them with *a completely different* paper on the very same topic of tired light and static universe theories that *also* did a similar test using standard scientific methods and based upon the same set of observations used to support Lambda-CDM, and they simply ignored that paper too!

The lack of ethics among EU/PC haters is simply appalling. They make no effort to educate themselves, and they constantly spew the same erroneous nonsense between themselves, while ignoring any and all evidence (and papers) to the contrary. Is it any wonder why the mainstream is using placeholder terms for human ignorance to describe most of the universe?

Jean, are you going to make a real effort to educate yourself on these topics or did you just intend to live in absolute ignorance for the rest of your life?

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Re: Evidence against concordance cosmology

Unread post by Michael Mozina » Tue Mar 08, 2016 2:37 pm

http://www.internationalskeptics.com/fo ... tcount=174
Eric L: In reply to Jean: Yes it is certainly true that the papers I cited about low He abundances do NOT conclude this is evidence against concordance cosmology. But let’s look at what is going on here. We have an accumulation of “problems” that, in actual fact, contradict the very fundamental predictions of concordance cosmology. These problems do not go away, despite lots or work to “resolve” them, We have the “lithium problem” --the contradiction between many, many measurements of lithium abundance in stars and the BB predictions.
Actually I would argue that the list of problem continues to increase by the year. The "Lithium problem" seems to me to be the least of their worries:

https://www.caltech.edu/news/farthest-g ... cted-47761
Prior to reionization, however, clouds of neutral hydrogen atoms would have absorbed certain radiation emitted by young, newly forming galaxies—including the so-called Lyman-alpha line, the spectral signature of hot hydrogen gas that has been heated by ultraviolet emission from new stars, and a commonly used indicator of star formation.

Because of this absorption, it should not, in theory, have been possible to observe a Lyman-alpha line from EGS8p7.
But they do..........

Now they'll of course come up with yet *another* case of "special pleading" to supposedly "explain away" why all their "predictions" related to re-ionization dates and processes don't work as advertised. None of their predictions related to "cold dark matter" held up to laboratory scrutiny. Their key claim about "standard candles" has also since been shown to be false, so once again, the special pleading goes on and on and on.

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Re: Evidence against concordance cosmology

Unread post by Michael Mozina » Tue Mar 08, 2016 4:25 pm

ben m: Maybe the problem is that you, Eric, are a biased and unreliable reader of the literature. You are very good at noticing papers that suggest anomalies, and you seem to have a blind spot for noticing resolutions of these suggestions.
If that's true, it pales in the comparison the unreliability you and the mainstream have when it comes to reading and dealing with the recent literature that undermines all of your various claims, from homogeneity hemispheric problems related to inflation predictions, and flatness problems that statistically actually work *against* your claim of the necessity of inflation, to 2006 baryonic mass estimates that were later shown to be off by factors of between 3 and 20 times, to your "standard candles" that turned out to be less than standard, to your reionization problems relate to seeing hydrogen lines too "early" in your fictitious snow globe universe.
If these things contributed to your mental picture of "more and more" anomalies, please reassess your picture.

<pause, wait for reassessment>
How about taking a crack at a few of the problems with LCDM on my list earlier in this thread, and I'll be happy to reassess my views based on how well you handle them ben.
Same with CMB alignments. When you see a six-parameter fit to thousands of data points of BAO/LSS/CMB/SNe/BBN/LyA/etc., you're all "ohhhh nooooo you leapt to huge conclusions based on so little!", but when one CMB datapoint surprises someone at the 1% level you're suddenly "well, that's enough evidence for me---time to announce the discovery of Lorentz-violating tired light and the end of electromagnetism."
Give me a break. You have four outright "supernatural fudge factors" with which you might fit *any number* of different sets of observations with enough tweaking. Those "fits" you talk about were based upon bad galaxy mass estimates from 2006 and earlier, and now falsified assumptions about "standard candles" that aren't so "standard" after all. You have a hemispheric variation problem in Planck data sets that wasn't "predicted" by Guth in the 70's.

Psst, Ben: Inelastic scattering is documented in the lab, and it's not a Lorentz violating process, although such processes have been proposed as it relates to neutrinos.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lorentz-v ... cillations

Even *If* one new process has to be understood as it relates to the way light propagates through plasma, it's certainly better that four unique leaps of faith into the purely supernatural, and additional "tweaks" required to make it fit.

You're on the wrong side of the Occam's razor argument Ben

You can and must "tweak" those variables almost every single time we get a new observation, including those hydrogen lines that defy your claims about reionization timelines, etc.

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Re: Evidence against concordance cosmology

Unread post by Michael Mozina » Tue Mar 08, 2016 4:47 pm

RC: The fantasy about "no part of the theory is in fact well-verified" is worse. What is the evidence for the Big Bang?

The existence of the CMB is well verified.
So what? The sun emits microwaves and radio waves and scattering happens. There's x-ray and gamma ray background too for the very same reason.
The temperature of the CMB is well verified.
Ya, and Eddington nailed that temperature to within 1/2 of a degree based upon the concept of scattering. So what? Early BB models missed that "average temperature" by more than a whole order of magnitude and they had to tweak it several times to get a better fit than Eddington got on his very first attempt.
The perfection of the black body spectrum of the CMB is well verified.
It's not all that 'perfect' actually. It's got hot and cold areas in it that are directly related to galaxy structures and specifically suns within those galaxies.
The power spectrum of the CMB is well verified.
And demonstrably wrong on the largest scales. Oooopsy?
Hubble's Law is so well verified that we detected deviation from it!
Hubble himself personally rejected your "assumption" as to the cause of that "Law". Ooopsy?
Homogeneity is quite well verified.
Except at the largest scales where it goes to hell in a handbasket.
Isotropy to 1 part in 100,000 is quite well verified.
Hardly surprising considering you "filtered" it to be that way. In the "raw" images all the suns and dust in our own galaxy make if far less 'isotropic" inside our galaxy and galaxy cluster.
Time dilation in supernova light curves is well verified.
Pulse spreading is also lab verified, as are many types of inelastic scattering.
Radio source and quasar counts vs. flux. These show that the Universe has evolved.
Eh?
http://phys.org/news/2010-04-discovery- ... ifies.html
Existence of the blackbody CMB. This shows that the Universe has evolved from a dense, isothermal state.
No, it only demonstrates that the universe has an average temperature, one Eddington also predicted to a much better accuracy than early BB estimates without any tweaking.

By the way, I'm adding your ridiculous lists of hyperlinks to your own previous posts as as another point in the RC drinking game. :)

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